How SlipTrack's Prediction Model Works
SlipTrack's game prediction model uses machine learning to forecast the outcome of every NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, and NCAAB game. The model combines Elo ratings with logistic regression (for win probability) and ridge regression (for predicted margin and total), trained on over 13,000 historical games across three seasons per sport.
Each prediction includes a win probability for both teams, a predicted final score, a model-generated spread, and a predicted total. The model factors in 15 features including points per game, opponent strength, rest days, win streaks, and back-to-back scheduling.
Model Accuracy by Sport
- NBA: ~66% accuracy (3,757 training games)
- NFL: ~64% accuracy (858 training games)
- NHL: ~56% accuracy (3,957 training games)
- MLB: ~54% accuracy (5,078 training games)
Current tracked accuracy across 100 graded predictions: 53.0%.
Past Prediction Results
All past prediction results are free and publicly visible. The table below shows the model's most recent graded predictions.
| Date | Sport | Game | Predicted Winner | Spread | Total | Final Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | Arizona Diamondbacks (67%) | 0.9 | 9.5 | 12-8 | Correct |
| Sep 24, 2026 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves (65%) | 1.3 | 8.5 | 7-6 | Incorrect |
| Sep 24, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners (64%) | 0.7 | 9.0 | 6-4 | Incorrect |
| Sep 24, 2026 | MLB | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | Chicago White Sox (60%) | 1.0 | 9.9 | 9-1 | Correct |
| Sep 24, 2026 | MLB | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs (59%) | 0.6 | 9.1 | 1-2 | Correct |
| Sep 24, 2026 | MLB | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | San Diego Padres (56%) | 0.4 | 8.5 | 4-2 | Correct |
| Sep 24, 2026 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates (56%) | 1.0 | 8.4 | 1-2 | Correct |
| Sep 24, 2026 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox (54%) | 0.7 | 8.5 | 1-0 | Incorrect |
| Sep 24, 2026 | MLB | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers (54%) | 0.5 | 8.9 | 1-3 | Correct |
| Sep 24, 2026 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | Milwaukee Brewers (54%) | 0.1 | 9.5 | 5-1 | Correct |
| Sep 24, 2026 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays (51%) | 1.0 | 9.3 | 4-6 | Incorrect |
| Sep 24, 2026 | MLB | Houston Astros at Athletics | Houston Astros (50%) | 0.4 | 9.7 | 7-5 | Correct |
| Sep 24, 2026 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers | Green Bay Packers (55%) | 0.0 | 47.0 | 35-14 | Incorrect |
| Sep 24, 2026 | NHL | Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues | St. Louis Blues (79%) | 1.4 | 6.2 | 0-1 | Correct |
| Sep 24, 2026 | NHL | Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks | Edmonton Oilers (69%) | 1.1 | 6.0 | 2-1 | Correct |
| Sep 24, 2026 | NHL | New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers | New Jersey Devils (65%) | 0.7 | 5.7 | 3-4 | Incorrect |
| Sep 24, 2026 | NHL | Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning | Tampa Bay Lightning (58%) | 0.5 | 6.1 | 5-3 | Incorrect |
| Sep 24, 2026 | NHL | Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken | Seattle Kraken (57%) | 0.5 | 5.9 | 3-4 | Correct |
| Sep 24, 2026 | NHL | Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets | Pittsburgh Penguins (55%) | 0.0 | 6.1 | 0-4 | Incorrect |
| Sep 24, 2026 | NHL | Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights | Vegas Golden Knights (54%) | 0.2 | 6.4 | 4-5 | Correct |
| Sep 24, 2026 | NHL | Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks | Anaheim Ducks (53%) | 0.0 | 6.1 | 0-10 | Incorrect |
| Sep 24, 2026 | NHL | Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers | Boston Bruins (53%) | 0.6 | 5.7 | 0-2 | Incorrect |
| Sep 24, 2026 | NHL | Nashville Predators at Carolina Hurricanes | Carolina Hurricanes (51%) | 0.2 | 6.0 | 5-6 | Correct |
| Sep 24, 2026 | NHL | Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings | Detroit Red Wings (51%) | 0.5 | 6.2 | 2-3 | Correct |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox (62%) | 0.6 | 7.0 | 0-1 | Correct |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | Arizona Diamondbacks (61%) | 0.6 | 9.5 | 5-3 | Correct |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves (60%) | 1.2 | 8.7 | 2-3 | Correct |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | Milwaukee Brewers (59%) | 1.4 | 10.2 | 4-1 | Correct |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs (57%) | 0.6 | 9.5 | 3-2 | Incorrect |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | Chicago White Sox (56%) | 1.1 | 8.7 | 4-5 | Incorrect |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | Athletics (54%) | 0.4 | 9.6 | 3-7 | Correct |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners (53%) | 0.3 | 8.9 | 5-6 | Correct |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | Washington Nationals (53%) | 0.4 | 9.7 | 4-2 | Correct |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | Toronto Blue Jays (53%) | 0.6 | 8.0 | 2-4 | Incorrect |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | San Diego Padres (51%) | 0.4 | 8.4 | 5-1 | Correct |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers (51%) | 0.1 | 8.6 | 7-2 | Incorrect |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants (50%) | 0.2 | 9.4 | 4-2 | Incorrect |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays (50%) | 0.5 | 9.8 | 2-9 | Incorrect |
| Sep 23, 2026 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates (50%) | 0.3 | 8.5 | 5-1 | Incorrect |
| Sep 23, 2026 | NHL | Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators | Ottawa Senators (84%) | 1.3 | 6.2 | 4-2 | Incorrect |
| Sep 23, 2026 | NHL | Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks | Anaheim Ducks (80%) | 1.9 | 6.1 | 2-1 | Incorrect |
| Sep 23, 2026 | NHL | Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs | Ottawa Senators (59%) | 0.5 | 5.9 | 1-6 | Incorrect |
| Sep 23, 2026 | NHL | Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars | Minnesota Wild (55%) | 0.6 | 6.0 | 0-2 | Incorrect |
| Sep 22, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | Athletics (65%) | 0.5 | 10.7 | 7-9 | Correct |
| Sep 22, 2026 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves (65%) | 1.5 | 9.0 | 4-0 | Incorrect |
| Sep 22, 2026 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | Arizona Diamondbacks (64%) | 0.9 | 9.6 | 7-2 | Correct |
| Sep 22, 2026 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | Milwaukee Brewers (63%) | 1.7 | 9.3 | 4-6 | Incorrect |
| Sep 22, 2026 | MLB | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs (63%) | 1.5 | 9.7 | 8-2 | Incorrect |
| Sep 22, 2026 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox (62%) | 0.0 | 9.0 | 3-2 | Incorrect |
| Sep 22, 2026 | MLB | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers (58%) | 1.0 | 8.4 | 0-7 | Correct |
Overall record: 53-47 (53.0%)
Today's Predictions
Today's upcoming game predictions with win probabilities and predicted scores are available exclusively to SlipTrack VIP members ($24.99/month). Subscribe to VIP to unlock today's predictions.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the SlipTrack prediction model work?
SlipTrack uses a custom machine learning model combining Elo ratings with logistic and ridge regression, trained on over 13,000 historical games across NBA, NFL, MLB, and NHL. It generates win probabilities, predicted scores, spreads, and totals for every game daily.
How accurate are the game predictions?
The model's accuracy varies by sport: NBA ~66%, NFL ~64%, NHL ~56%, MLB ~54%. Current tracked accuracy across 100 graded predictions: 53.0%.
Can I see predictions for free?
All past prediction results are free and publicly visible to everyone. Today's upcoming game predictions are available exclusively to SlipTrack VIP members ($24.99/month).
What sports does the prediction model cover?
The model covers NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, and NCAAB. Predictions include win probability, predicted final score, spread, and total for each game.
What is the difference between predictions and Al's Picks?
Predictions come from a statistical machine learning model using Elo ratings and regression. Al's Picks come from Action Al, an AI that analyzes odds, matchups, and trends to make specific betting recommendations. They run independently — the prediction model focuses on win probability and scores, while Al focuses on identifying value in the betting market.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions are generated daily at 7:00 AM ET. The model backfills scores from the previous day, updates Elo ratings, and predicts all of today's scheduled games.
Is this gambling advice?
SlipTrack predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not gambling advice. Always bet responsibly.