How SlipTrack's Prediction Model Works
SlipTrack's game prediction model uses machine learning to forecast the outcome of every NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, and NCAAB game. The model combines Elo ratings with logistic regression (for win probability) and ridge regression (for predicted margin and total), trained on over 13,000 historical games across three seasons per sport.
Each prediction includes a win probability for both teams, a predicted final score, a model-generated spread, and a predicted total. The model factors in 15 features including points per game, opponent strength, rest days, win streaks, and back-to-back scheduling.
Model Accuracy by Sport
- NBA: ~66% accuracy (3,757 training games)
- NFL: ~64% accuracy (858 training games)
- NHL: ~56% accuracy (3,957 training games)
- MLB: ~54% accuracy (5,078 training games)
Current tracked accuracy across 100 graded predictions: 47.0%.
Past Prediction Results
All past prediction results are free and publicly visible. The table below shows the model's most recent graded predictions.
| Date | Sport | Game | Predicted Winner | Spread | Total | Final Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers at Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins (66%) | 0.1 | 9.1 | 4-3 | Incorrect |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds (64%) | 0.8 | 10.0 | 6-5 | Incorrect |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Athletics at San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants (60%) | 1.4 | 9.4 | 1-2 | Correct |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres | Atlanta Braves (59%) | 0.7 | 8.8 | 2-5 | Incorrect |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels | Baltimore Orioles (59%) | 1.0 | 9.0 | 6-7 | Incorrect |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Boston Red Sox at Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies (58%) | 0.6 | 9.4 | 6-8 | Correct |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals | Philadelphia Phillies (57%) | 0.2 | 10.6 | 5-4 | Correct |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Texas Rangers at Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins (55%) | 0.2 | 8.4 | 2-4 | Correct |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals (54%) | 0.3 | 8.0 | 9-4 | Incorrect |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Seattle Mariners at Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates (54%) | 0.5 | 9.7 | 1-11 | Correct |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Chicago Cubs at New York Mets | New York Mets (54%) | 0.0 | 9.4 | 10-3 | Incorrect |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | Cleveland Guardians (54%) | 0.7 | 8.4 | 4-3 | Correct |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays (53%) | 0.3 | 8.5 | 3-1 | Incorrect |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays (53%) | 1.5 | 7.5 | 3-5 | Correct |
| Jun 24, 2026 | MLB | New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers (51%) | 0.2 | 8.6 | 4-2 | Incorrect |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Boston Red Sox at Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies (61%) | 0.3 | 9.5 | 5-2 | Incorrect |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays (61%) | 0.6 | 7.2 | 12-5 | Incorrect |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Texas Rangers at Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins (60%) | 0.2 | 8.9 | 4-6 | Correct |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres | Atlanta Braves (59%) | 1.1 | 8.7 | 6-7 | Incorrect |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers at Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins (58%) | 0.4 | 9.5 | 12-3 | Incorrect |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Athletics at San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants (58%) | 1.2 | 9.3 | 1-3 | Correct |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals (57%) | 0.5 | 9.5 | 14-9 | Incorrect |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds (55%) | 0.1 | 9.7 | 2-0 | Incorrect |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers | New York Yankees (54%) | 0.7 | 8.0 | 4-3 | Correct |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox (53%) | 0.7 | 8.5 | 1-2 | Correct |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals | Arizona Diamondbacks (53%) | 0.7 | 8.6 | 4-3 | Correct |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels | Baltimore Orioles (53%) | 0.5 | 9.1 | 1-5 | Incorrect |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays (52%) | 0.2 | 8.1 | 9-7 | Incorrect |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Chicago Cubs at New York Mets | New York Mets (51%) | 0.5 | 10.3 | 9-6 | Incorrect |
| Jun 23, 2026 | MLB | Seattle Mariners at Pittsburgh Pirates | Seattle Mariners (51%) | 0.5 | 8.8 | 3-2 | Correct |
| Jun 22, 2026 | MLB | Texas Rangers at Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins (63%) | 0.3 | 8.6 | 4-3 | Incorrect |
| Jun 22, 2026 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals (62%) | 0.9 | 9.2 | 1-4 | Correct |
| Jun 22, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers at Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins (57%) | 0.7 | 9.1 | 2-1 | Incorrect |
| Jun 22, 2026 | MLB | Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays (56%) | 0.4 | 8.8 | 2-1 | Incorrect |
| Jun 22, 2026 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels (56%) | 0.7 | 8.1 | 6-1 | Incorrect |
| Jun 22, 2026 | MLB | Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres | Atlanta Braves (55%) | 0.3 | 8.9 | 0-1 | Incorrect |
| Jun 22, 2026 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals | Arizona Diamondbacks (54%) | 1.2 | 8.7 | 2-3 | Incorrect |
| Jun 22, 2026 | MLB | Boston Red Sox at Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies (54%) | 0.1 | 10.9 | 2-3 | Correct |
| Jun 22, 2026 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds (52%) | 0.2 | 8.7 | 2-1 | Incorrect |
| Jun 22, 2026 | MLB | Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays (52%) | 0.0 | 8.3 | 2-4 | Correct |
| Jun 22, 2026 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | Cleveland Guardians (51%) | 0.4 | 8.4 | 5-6 | Incorrect |
| Jun 22, 2026 | MLB | Chicago Cubs at New York Mets | New York Mets (51%) | 0.6 | 9.5 | 9-6 | Incorrect |
| Jun 22, 2026 | MLB | New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers (51%) | 0.7 | 8.9 | 3-5 | Correct |
| Jun 21, 2026 | MLB | Washington Nationals at Tampa Bay Rays | Washington Nationals (64%) | 1.9 | 8.4 | 3-4 | Incorrect |
| Jun 21, 2026 | MLB | New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies (62%) | 0.7 | 8.1 | 2-6 | Correct |
| Jun 21, 2026 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals (60%) | 0.1 | 8.7 | 12-10 | Incorrect |
| Jun 21, 2026 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies (59%) | 1.0 | 9.7 | 8-6 | Incorrect |
| Jun 21, 2026 | MLB | Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners (59%) | 0.7 | 7.5 | 1-3 | Correct |
| Jun 21, 2026 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees | New York Yankees (57%) | 0.6 | 9.1 | 4-1 | Incorrect |
| Jun 21, 2026 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers (56%) | 0.5 | 8.6 | 12-1 | Incorrect |
Overall record: 47-53 (47.0%)
Today's Predictions
Today's upcoming game predictions with win probabilities and predicted scores are available exclusively to SlipTrack VIP members ($24.99/month). Subscribe to VIP to unlock today's predictions.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the SlipTrack prediction model work?
SlipTrack uses a custom machine learning model combining Elo ratings with logistic and ridge regression, trained on over 13,000 historical games across NBA, NFL, MLB, and NHL. It generates win probabilities, predicted scores, spreads, and totals for every game daily.
How accurate are the game predictions?
The model's accuracy varies by sport: NBA ~66%, NFL ~64%, NHL ~56%, MLB ~54%. Current tracked accuracy across 100 graded predictions: 47.0%.
Can I see predictions for free?
All past prediction results are free and publicly visible to everyone. Today's upcoming game predictions are available exclusively to SlipTrack VIP members ($24.99/month).
What sports does the prediction model cover?
The model covers NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, and NCAAB. Predictions include win probability, predicted final score, spread, and total for each game.
What is the difference between predictions and Al's Picks?
Predictions come from a statistical machine learning model using Elo ratings and regression. Al's Picks come from Action Al, an AI that analyzes odds, matchups, and trends to make specific betting recommendations. They run independently — the prediction model focuses on win probability and scores, while Al focuses on identifying value in the betting market.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions are generated daily at 7:00 AM ET. The model backfills scores from the previous day, updates Elo ratings, and predicts all of today's scheduled games.
Is this gambling advice?
SlipTrack predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not gambling advice. Always bet responsibly.