How SlipTrack's Prediction Model Works
SlipTrack's game prediction model uses machine learning to forecast the outcome of every NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, and NCAAB game. The model combines Elo ratings with logistic regression (for win probability) and ridge regression (for predicted margin and total), trained on over 13,000 historical games across three seasons per sport.
Each prediction includes a win probability for both teams, a predicted final score, a model-generated spread, and a predicted total. The model factors in 15 features including points per game, opponent strength, rest days, win streaks, and back-to-back scheduling.
Model Accuracy by Sport
- NBA: ~66% accuracy (3,757 training games)
- NFL: ~64% accuracy (858 training games)
- NHL: ~56% accuracy (3,957 training games)
- MLB: ~54% accuracy (5,078 training games)
Current tracked accuracy across 100 graded predictions: 50.0%.
Past Prediction Results
All past prediction results are free and publicly visible. The table below shows the model's most recent graded predictions.
| Date | Sport | Game | Predicted Winner | Spread | Total | Final Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Athletics at Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox (73%) | 1.5 | 11.1 | 7-3 | Incorrect |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates | New York Mets (67%) | 1.0 | 8.0 | 0-9 | Incorrect |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers (64%) | 0.3 | 8.7 | 3-4 | Correct |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals (61%) | 0.4 | 8.7 | 8-6 | Incorrect |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Detroit Tigers at San Francisco Giants | Detroit Tigers (60%) | 1.6 | 8.4 | 8-0 | Correct |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees | Atlanta Braves (60%) | 0.6 | 8.4 | 4-5 | Incorrect |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox (57%) | 0.1 | 7.9 | 3-6 | Correct |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels at Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins (57%) | 1.1 | 7.9 | 0-7 | Correct |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals | Chicago Cubs (56%) | 0.1 | 8.1 | 3-6 | Incorrect |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners | Tampa Bay Rays (55%) | 0.4 | 7.9 | 3-2 | Correct |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks | Los Angeles Dodgers (54%) | 0.4 | 7.6 | 2-1 | Correct |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Houston Astros at San Diego Padres | Houston Astros (52%) | 0.3 | 8.7 | 2-3 | Incorrect |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers (52%) | 0.7 | 7.9 | 1-5 | Correct |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals | Cincinnati Reds (52%) | 0.3 | 9.1 | 2-8 | Incorrect |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies | Toronto Blue Jays (52%) | 0.2 | 9.8 | 7-5 | Correct |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Athletics at Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox (67%) | 1.0 | 9.7 | 1-13 | Correct |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals (62%) | 0.9 | 9.2 | 2-3 | Correct |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels at Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins (62%) | 1.2 | 7.8 | 4-3 | Incorrect |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners | Tampa Bay Rays (59%) | 1.2 | 8.9 | 2-1 | Correct |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox (58%) | 0.7 | 8.5 | 8-2 | Incorrect |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers (55%) | 0.6 | 8.4 | 8-6 | Incorrect |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Detroit Tigers at San Francisco Giants | Detroit Tigers (54%) | 0.2 | 8.1 | 2-5 | Incorrect |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees | Atlanta Braves (53%) | 0.5 | 7.9 | 2-3 | Incorrect |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals | Chicago Cubs (53%) | 0.0 | 7.4 | 6-4 | Correct |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals (53%) | 0.2 | 9.0 | 3-5 | Correct |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers (52%) | 0.6 | 8.5 | 1-2 | Correct |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates | New York Mets (52%) | 0.3 | 7.9 | 6-4 | Correct |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Houston Astros at San Diego Padres | Houston Astros (51%) | 0.1 | 8.4 | 6-3 | Correct |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies (50%) | 0.2 | 9.3 | 5-4 | Incorrect |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks | Los Angeles Dodgers (50%) | 0.3 | 7.8 | 3-4 | Incorrect |
| Aug 6, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles (66%) | 1.3 | 8.8 | 4-1 | Incorrect |
| Aug 6, 2026 | MLB | Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves | Miami Marlins (60%) | 1.2 | 8.6 | 3-11 | Incorrect |
| Aug 6, 2026 | MLB | Athletics at Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds (59%) | 0.4 | 8.9 | 5-6 | Correct |
| Aug 6, 2026 | MLB | New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians (58%) | 0.8 | 8.7 | 13-6 | Incorrect |
| Aug 6, 2026 | MLB | Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies (55%) | 0.1 | 9.3 | 3-7 | Correct |
| Aug 6, 2026 | MLB | Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners | Detroit Tigers (54%) | 0.8 | 8.4 | 11-0 | Correct |
| Aug 6, 2026 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs | Toronto Blue Jays (54%) | 0.5 | 9.0 | 2-3 | Incorrect |
| Aug 6, 2026 | MLB | Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox | Chicago White Sox (54%) | 0.9 | 9.7 | 11-12 | Incorrect |
| Aug 6, 2026 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers (53%) | 0.8 | 8.7 | 2-5 | Correct |
| Aug 6, 2026 | MLB | San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks (52%) | 0.2 | 8.4 | 5-1 | Incorrect |
| Aug 6, 2026 | MLB | Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals | Minnesota Twins (51%) | 0.8 | 8.3 | 4-3 | Correct |
| Aug 6, 2026 | NFL | Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals | Carolina Panthers (60%) | 5.0 | 37.6 | 33-30 | Correct |
| Aug 5, 2026 | MLB | Athletics at Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds (69%) | 0.5 | 9.3 | 2-3 | Correct |
| Aug 5, 2026 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers (62%) | 1.4 | 8.7 | 2-4 | Correct |
| Aug 5, 2026 | MLB | New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians (61%) | 0.6 | 8.8 | 6-5 | Incorrect |
| Aug 5, 2026 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees | St. Louis Cardinals (60%) | 0.3 | 9.0 | 3-1 | Correct |
| Aug 5, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles (60%) | 1.3 | 8.2 | 2-5 | Correct |
| Aug 5, 2026 | MLB | San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks | San Diego Padres (56%) | 0.7 | 8.5 | 4-10 | Incorrect |
| Aug 5, 2026 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros | Toronto Blue Jays (55%) | 0.3 | 9.1 | 5-4 | Correct |
| Aug 5, 2026 | MLB | Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox | Chicago White Sox (55%) | 0.6 | 9.1 | 0-4 | Incorrect |
Overall record: 50-50 (50.0%)
Today's Predictions
Today's upcoming game predictions with win probabilities and predicted scores are available exclusively to SlipTrack VIP members ($24.99/month). Subscribe to VIP to unlock today's predictions.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the SlipTrack prediction model work?
SlipTrack uses a custom machine learning model combining Elo ratings with logistic and ridge regression, trained on over 13,000 historical games across NBA, NFL, MLB, and NHL. It generates win probabilities, predicted scores, spreads, and totals for every game daily.
How accurate are the game predictions?
The model's accuracy varies by sport: NBA ~66%, NFL ~64%, NHL ~56%, MLB ~54%. Current tracked accuracy across 100 graded predictions: 50.0%.
Can I see predictions for free?
All past prediction results are free and publicly visible to everyone. Today's upcoming game predictions are available exclusively to SlipTrack VIP members ($24.99/month).
What sports does the prediction model cover?
The model covers NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, and NCAAB. Predictions include win probability, predicted final score, spread, and total for each game.
What is the difference between predictions and Al's Picks?
Predictions come from a statistical machine learning model using Elo ratings and regression. Al's Picks come from Action Al, an AI that analyzes odds, matchups, and trends to make specific betting recommendations. They run independently — the prediction model focuses on win probability and scores, while Al focuses on identifying value in the betting market.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions are generated daily at 7:00 AM ET. The model backfills scores from the previous day, updates Elo ratings, and predicts all of today's scheduled games.
Is this gambling advice?
SlipTrack predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not gambling advice. Always bet responsibly.