How SlipTrack's Prediction Model Works
SlipTrack's game prediction model uses machine learning to forecast the outcome of every NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, and NCAAB game. The model combines Elo ratings with logistic regression (for win probability) and ridge regression (for predicted margin and total), trained on over 13,000 historical games across three seasons per sport.
Each prediction includes a win probability for both teams, a predicted final score, a model-generated spread, and a predicted total. The model factors in 15 features including points per game, opponent strength, rest days, win streaks, and back-to-back scheduling.
Model Accuracy by Sport
- NBA: ~66% accuracy (3,757 training games)
- NFL: ~64% accuracy (858 training games)
- NHL: ~56% accuracy (3,957 training games)
- MLB: ~54% accuracy (5,078 training games)
Current tracked accuracy across 100 graded predictions: 60.0%.
Past Prediction Results
All past prediction results are free and publicly visible. The table below shows the model's most recent graded predictions.
| Date | Sport | Game | Predicted Winner | Spread | Total | Final Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels at Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays (70%) | 0.2 | 9.5 | 6-1 | Incorrect |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins | Washington Nationals (65%) | 1.7 | 9.4 | 2-5 | Incorrect |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies (64%) | 1.2 | 9.0 | 0-6 | Correct |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals (61%) | 0.5 | 7.9 | 6-3 | Incorrect |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox | Tampa Bay Rays (57%) | 0.4 | 8.0 | 4-1 | Correct |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds | Houston Astros (55%) | 0.3 | 8.1 | 0-5 | Incorrect |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres | St. Louis Cardinals (53%) | 0.8 | 7.4 | 2-3 | Incorrect |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians (53%) | 0.5 | 8.6 | 5-4 | Incorrect |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | Athletics at Baltimore Orioles | Athletics (53%) | 0.4 | 9.7 | 1-2 | Incorrect |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox (53%) | 0.7 | 10.0 | 1-2 | Correct |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants | Pittsburgh Pirates (52%) | 0.4 | 9.6 | 6-7 | Incorrect |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers (52%) | 0.1 | 9.7 | 7-2 | Incorrect |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks | New York Mets (52%) | 0.2 | 7.6 | 1-5 | Incorrect |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | Chicago Cubs at Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers (51%) | 0.7 | 8.4 | 0-3 | Correct |
| May 10, 2026 | MLB | New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers (50%) | 0.8 | 9.0 | 3-4 | Correct |
| May 10, 2026 | NBA | New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers | New York Knicks (88%) | 10.1 | 206.7 | 144-114 | Correct |
| May 10, 2026 | NBA | San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves | San Antonio Spurs (71%) | 6.6 | 214.1 | 109-114 | Incorrect |
| May 10, 2026 | NHL | Buffalo Sabres at Montreal Canadiens | Buffalo Sabres (56%) | 0.4 | 5.5 | 2-6 | Incorrect |
| May 10, 2026 | NHL | Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks | Vegas Golden Knights (51%) | 0.0 | 6.3 | 3-4 | Incorrect |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants | Pittsburgh Pirates (71%) | 1.1 | 9.0 | 13-3 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians (65%) | 1.3 | 9.0 | 2-1 | Incorrect |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox (62%) | 0.1 | 9.6 | 1-6 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies (60%) | 1.4 | 9.6 | 3-9 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | Chicago Cubs at Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers (57%) | 0.6 | 9.4 | 0-6 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | Athletics at Baltimore Orioles | Athletics (56%) | 0.5 | 9.5 | 6-2 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks (56%) | 0.4 | 8.7 | 1-2 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels at Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays (55%) | 0.9 | 9.1 | 1-14 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals (55%) | 0.4 | 7.6 | 1-5 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins (53%) | 0.1 | 9.1 | 7-8 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds (53%) | 1.1 | 10.2 | 1-3 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers (53%) | 0.5 | 10.2 | 7-2 | Incorrect |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres (52%) | 0.2 | 8.0 | 2-4 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | MLB | New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers (51%) | 0.4 | 9.8 | 3-4 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Lakers | Oklahoma City Thunder (72%) | 3.7 | 217.1 | 131-108 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | NBA | Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers | Cleveland Cavaliers (51%) | 3.0 | 208.7 | 109-116 | Correct |
| May 9, 2026 | NHL | Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild | Colorado Avalanche (75%) | 0.2 | 6.2 | 1-5 | Incorrect |
| May 9, 2026 | NHL | Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers | Philadelphia Flyers (56%) | 0.9 | 7.1 | 3-2 | Incorrect |
| May 8, 2026 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants | Pittsburgh Pirates (71%) | 1.6 | 9.5 | 2-5 | Incorrect |
| May 8, 2026 | MLB | Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies (69%) | 1.2 | 8.8 | 9-7 | Incorrect |
| May 8, 2026 | MLB | Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox (61%) | 0.5 | 9.5 | 12-8 | Incorrect |
| May 8, 2026 | MLB | Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds (59%) | 0.3 | 9.5 | 10-0 | Incorrect |
| May 8, 2026 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox (58%) | 0.4 | 8.7 | 0-2 | Correct |
| May 8, 2026 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels at Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays (58%) | 0.7 | 9.6 | 0-2 | Correct |
| May 8, 2026 | MLB | Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians (57%) | 0.9 | 9.3 | 4-6 | Correct |
| May 8, 2026 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres | St. Louis Cardinals (56%) | 1.3 | 8.9 | 6-0 | Correct |
| May 8, 2026 | MLB | New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers (55%) | 0.1 | 9.3 | 0-6 | Correct |
| May 8, 2026 | MLB | Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals (54%) | 0.1 | 9.0 | 3-4 | Correct |
| May 8, 2026 | MLB | Athletics at Baltimore Orioles | Athletics (53%) | 0.7 | 8.6 | 4-3 | Correct |
| May 8, 2026 | MLB | Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins | Washington Nationals (53%) | 1.0 | 9.2 | 3-2 | Correct |
| May 8, 2026 | MLB | New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks | New York Mets (52%) | 0.0 | 9.4 | 3-1 | Correct |
Overall record: 60-40 (60.0%)
Today's Predictions
Today's upcoming game predictions with win probabilities and predicted scores are available exclusively to SlipTrack VIP members ($24.99/month). Subscribe to VIP to unlock today's predictions.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the SlipTrack prediction model work?
SlipTrack uses a custom machine learning model combining Elo ratings with logistic and ridge regression, trained on over 13,000 historical games across NBA, NFL, MLB, and NHL. It generates win probabilities, predicted scores, spreads, and totals for every game daily.
How accurate are the game predictions?
The model's accuracy varies by sport: NBA ~66%, NFL ~64%, NHL ~56%, MLB ~54%. Current tracked accuracy across 100 graded predictions: 60.0%.
Can I see predictions for free?
All past prediction results are free and publicly visible to everyone. Today's upcoming game predictions are available exclusively to SlipTrack VIP members ($24.99/month).
What sports does the prediction model cover?
The model covers NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, and NCAAB. Predictions include win probability, predicted final score, spread, and total for each game.
What is the difference between predictions and Al's Picks?
Predictions come from a statistical machine learning model using Elo ratings and regression. Al's Picks come from Action Al, an AI that analyzes odds, matchups, and trends to make specific betting recommendations. They run independently — the prediction model focuses on win probability and scores, while Al focuses on identifying value in the betting market.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions are generated daily at 7:00 AM ET. The model backfills scores from the previous day, updates Elo ratings, and predicts all of today's scheduled games.
Is this gambling advice?
SlipTrack predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not gambling advice. Always bet responsibly.